Parameters
Samples: 8000
Higher means more members can attend meetings/committees (reduces legitimacy risk & burnout).
Clear rules, appeals, and documentation reduce destructive conflict and improve legitimacy.
Captures “education/training” principle: onboarding, handovers, facilitation, finance literacy.
Translation, childcare supports, accessible governance formats, reasonable adjustments.
Higher reserves reduce fee spikes and deferred maintenance when capital repairs hit.
Higher means roofs/heating/lifts are nearer end-of-life (more stress on budgets & governance).
Higher means conflicts can move through informal→facilitation→mediation instead of sanction escalation.
Higher means more meetings/admin load. Raises burnout and participation inequality unless offset.
Higher means stronger resale restrictions/subsidy retention (helps long-run affordability, reduces conversion).
Higher means surrounding prices/incentives to “go market” are stronger (mission drift risk rises).
Model note: this is a probabilistic proxy for the institution constraints. Sliders influence latent variables that
approximate relations like ReserveAdequate, DueProcess,
Mediated, DiverseMembership, etc.
Outcome probability distributions
lower risk / better
mixed
higher risk / worse
Fee spike
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Deferred maintenance
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Conflict escalation to sanctions
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High diversity outcome
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Mission drift / conversion
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Governance legitimacy
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Interpreting charts: each histogram shows the distribution of the simulated probability of that outcome given your parameters.
The “mean” is the expected probability; the interval shows uncertainty from unobserved factors (noise + interactions).